Future contract !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
What are future contract Derivative.
Futures markets were innovated to overcome the limitations of forwards. A futures contract is an agreement made through an organized exchange to buy or sell a fixed amount of a commodity or a financial asset on a future date at an agreed price. Simply, futures are standardised forward contracts that are traded on an exchange. The clearinghouse associated with the exchange guarantees settlement of these trades. A trader, who buys futures contract, takes a long position and the one, who sells futures, takes a short position. The words buy and sell are figurative only because no money or underlying asset changes hand, between buyer and seller, when the deal is signed
Future Contract. |
It is important to understand what actually futures prices indicate?
If we say May 2020 index futures contract is trading today (in March 2020) at 10200, what does it mean. We can explain this by saying that that market expects the cash index to settle at 10200 at the closure of the market on last Thursday of May (i.e., on the last trading day of the contract which is May 31, 2020). Point is that every participant in the market is trying to predict the cash index level at a single point in time i.e. at the closure of the market on last trading day of the contract, which is Thursday in our example.
This results in price discovery of cash index at a specific point in time. Now, we may also state that futures prices are essentially expected spot price of the underlying asset, at the maturity of the futures contract. Accordingly, both futures and spot prices converge at the maturity of futures contract, as at that point in time there cannot be any difference between these two prices. This is the reason why all futures contracts on expiry settle at the underlying cash market price. This principal remains same for all the underlying assets.
Features of futures contract
In futures market, exchange decides all the contract terms of the contract other than price. Accordingly, futures contracts have following features
Contract between two parties through Exchange
Centralised trading platform i.e. exchange
Price discovery through free interaction of buyers and sellers
Margins are payable by both the parties
Quality decided today (standardized )
Quantity decided today (standardized)
Pricing of a futures contract depends on the characteristics of underlying asset. There is no single way to price futures contracts because different assets have different demand and supply patterns, different characteristics and cash flow patterns. This makes it difficult to design a single methodology for calculation of pricing of futures contracts. Market participants use different models for pricing futures. Here, our discussion is limited to only two popular models of futures pricing ‐ Cash and Carry model and Expectancy model.
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The analogy I have used might not be 100% correct but it’s easy to understand things with a simpler analogy.
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